Thursday Night Football

Another tough loss. Oklahoma dominated that game statistically but Stanford hung tough and gave them a good fight. Rolling with Tennessee tonight +5 as I really think they have a good chance in this game. Kiffin really did a nice job with this team and I think they have a strong showing tonight.



Posted Record: 112-87-6

Thursday Football

OK now I don't think Kentucky was such a bad call but Arizona was just a flat out bad call. They were the far inferior team and I think the true strength of the PAC-10 is starting to show. Today and tomorrow I look to right the ship and I will begin doing that with Oklahoma -10. I got this line at 8 about a week ago but I think there defense will really get it done against Stanford, and without Luck this Stanford team will likely not be the same. I'll be back with more later.

Oklahoma -10


Posted Record: 112-86-6

Wednesday Football

Tough loss on Kentucky.

Tonight I like Arizona +3. Think they just have the better offense and a good enough defense to pull the win here.


Posted Record: 112-85-6

Sunday Update

Nice day hitting both of our NFL picks.

My second bowl pick is Kentucky. Here's the writeup.


Clemson is coming off a very tough loss in the ACC Championship game to Georgia Tech and I think they might impact them in their preparation for this game. Kentucky is a legit SEC program and I think their chances of at least keeping this one a game are very good. Other than Bama and Florida, Kentucky kept it competitive with pretty much everyone this year (including the likes of Tennessee, Auburn, and South Carolina), and although Clemson has a good offense we saw what happened when a top-tier ACC team played a middle-tier SEC team when Clemson played South Carolina. I can’t say I really expect Kentucky to win the game here, but I’ll take seven all day long.

Pick: Kentucky +7


Posted Record: 112-84-6

Sunday NFL

I guess to be fair I'll count UNC as a push yesterday. It opened at three but was closer to one by game time. I have two picks so far for NFL.

Houston +1.5

Oakland/Cleveland Under 37


I'll be back for tonight's college bowl game and possibly more NFL.


Posted Record: 110-84-6

First Bowl Pick

Rolling with UNC +1. (I got it at 3 when it came out)

I know everyone is really excited about the season that Pitt had and everyone loves Pitt to knock off the Tar Heels. Not so fast I say. UNC matches up well with Pitt as Pitt loves to run the ball with their excellent running back Dion Lewis. However, UNC has a solid front seven and I think they do a good job of containing Lewis. UNC’s quarterback play has been touch and go this season but with the extra time to prepare I believe UNC will establish a plan to limit T.J. Yates’ mistakes. Pitt is coming off two tough losses to West Virginia and a devastating loss to Cincy in the Big East Championship game. I think after that they may have a tough time getting up for this game. A season where they showed great promise and potential ended bitterly and I believe the trend continues and they drop this game to an up-and-coming UNC squad.


Football Record: 110-84-5

Update

Disappointing Sunday/Monday action going 1-3. We have admittedly been struggling lately. However, I expect to hit the Bowl games very hard. Little hickup with the site, so the picks will probably be posted free of charge ultimately. First game goes off December 26th so check back for updates.



Football Record: 110-84-5

Sunday NFL

Three plays for today:

Cincy +7 taking the emotional underdog after the death of teammate Chris Henry.

49er's +7.5 pretty impressive Monday Night let's see if they keep it up and keep it close.

Pitt -2.5 this line makes little to no sense, don't think Pitt drops another one in a row though.

Monday Night: I am rolling with the Redskins +3 as I look for them to pull the upset.

Also, I put together a package of my 12 favorite Bowl Game picks, which we are selling for $25 at www.johnsbets.com All picks come with information and analysis.

Update

Tough one last night with the Jags failing to cover by 1. They definitely kept it close and could have won, though, so I'm not upset with the pick. Be sure to check back Saturday for our Bowl picks.

Football Record: 109-81-5

Thursday Night Football

Tough Sunday. Not much to say. The games can be very unpredictable late in the season so like I said I'm just waiting to go Bowling. Working on the picks and write-ups and should have a nice little package ready soon.

Just have a funny feeling the Jags pull the upset tomorrow night.

Jags +3

Football Record: 109-80-5

Scratch Atlanta

Sorry folks, if you've locked in Atlanta already nothing you can do, but Matty Ice and Mike Turner are both out today. I'd lay off this one if you haven't placed your bet already. I'll include it as far as the record is concerned (it's only fair because I posted it) but don't play it if you can avoid it.

Sunday Football

Well folks we've had a little layoff, not really picking much lately, but I think that is a wise decision with a healthy serving of Bowl games on its way. Three plays for today. Nice and simple, just good (or decent) teams getting too many points.

Denver +7
Cincy +6.5
Atlanta +10


Football Record: 108-78-5

College Hoops Record: 2-2

Friday NCAAB

1-1 in College Hoops so far. Two plays for tonight:

Old Dominion +3.5
Iowa +11

Thursday

Here's my take on tonight's NFL game. It's tough to tell which Pitt team you're going to get this year. Do we get the team that beat the Vikings or lost to the Raiders? With the total all the way down at 33, I'd have to take the points, but as I've said in the past I'm not betting on the Browns, so it's a no play for me. As I said I will be treading lightly until the College Bowls, but I will be back with plays for Sunday.

Football Record: 108-78-5

A couple College Basketball for you folks:

Northeastern +7
Florida +2.5

College Hoops Record: 0-0

No Play for Monday

Well I will say this past weekend was very disappointing. The only positive we can really take away was that all three of our underdog winners from Saturday won straight up, and Warner played so we only went 0-2 and not 0-3. Not happy about it. But I will tell you that I am very excited for Bowl Season. I have several plays in mind already, still waiting for some spreads to come out but I can tell you there is some money to be made when the Bowls roll around. I'll be treading lightly for the next few weeks in the NFL. A few plays here and there, but overall its been a good season so I'm taking my foot just a touch off the gas and coasting into the Bowls. But I'll be back here and there for a game I really like, or maybe just for some commentary. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 108-78-5

Update

Well Tennessee's late surge was not enough for the cover and Dallas pretty much handed the Giants that game on a silver platter. Can't wait to see what the bowl games are and start planning my bets. Sad to see the college regular season go.


Posted Record: 108-78-5

Sunday Card

Tough day yesterday finishing 3-4. Couple nice underdog winners with Bama, Arizona, and Washington but it's all moot as the other teams came up short and could not get it done. Not the way we wanted to finished the college regular season, but still 34 bowl games to go. Today's card is small and pending one injury report.

Titans +7
Dallas -1
Minny -3.5 (If Warner does not play)

Posted Record: 108-76-5

Update

Well Rutgers Freshman QB made some Freshman mistakes and cost us the cover there. Also wasn't expecting almost 500 yards of total offense from Bama against Florida's D. Very impressive showing. Can't believe I passed on Bama to win it all at 17 to 1 preseason. Just didn't know McElroy would come in and far exceed anything JPW could do. Either way we're 2-2 so far and I don't think we're doing half bad. We'll see how the last three play out and hopefully we come away with a 5-2 or a 4-3 day. Be back later.

Tebow's Eye Black

John 16:33:

"I have told you these things, so that in me you may have peace. In this world you will have trouble. But take heart! I have overcome the world."

Sorry Tim, not looking good for you so far.

The Tim Tebow Drinking Game

Found this online, thought I'd share it.

In honor of Tebow's sheer awesomeness, we give you the Tebow SEC Championship Drinking Game!

* Drink every time Tebow is called "a warrior." Bonus chug if any of your friends sing the first two lines of Scandal's opus "I am a warrior" and change the lyrics to "Tebow is..." Dance, Tebow, you magnificent *******.

* Drink every time Tebow's called "a leader," then salute.

* Drink every time Tebow's called a "special athlete," then yell "Tiiiimmmmmmmmay!"

* Finish your drink if the announcers suggest Tebow should win the Heisman again this year.

* Drink every time Tebow points to the sky. Then realize the only reason the sky hasn't fallen is the strength of his pointing.

* Drink every time Tebow references God. Or himself. Tom-A-to. Tom-ah-to.

* Drink every time he's shown on the sidelines flapping his arms like a bird (or an idiot) to pump up the crowd.

* If (when) Tebow actually takes flight, finish your drink and do a shot.

* Drink every time Tebow's on camera for no reason when the Florida defense is on the field.

* Drink every time Tebow is seen screaming with his helmet off.

* Drink every time they show a "I Heart Tebow" sign in the stands.

* Drink every time you see a Florida fan in jorts. (Small sips on this one. Otherwise it could kill you).

* Shot every time they mention his experience as missionary.

* If they mention him performing circumcisions in the Philippines while he was a missionary - Chug your beer, do a shot of Patron.

Disclaimer: Playing the Tebow drinking game may result in death. So don't do it. Ever. Not even in jest. The content above this disclaimer is a joke, not a suggestion. If you're dumb enough to do it, just pray Tebow is nearby. Only he can save you. Him or a local hospital with a stomach pump.

Saturday Card

No play tomorrow, got my card for Saturday. Tough loss on Oregon as I thought we certainly could have covered that number. But anyway moving on to Saturday I like this card a lot.

Rutgers -1.5 (strictly a situational play here, WVU got the win of their season last weekend, this game wreaks of letdown)
Arizona +7 (line is inflated based on past reputation of both teams)
Alabama +5.5 (think they win on the field)
Alabama/Florida Under 41 (Two best defenses in the country)
Florida International -1.5 (another situational play)
Washington +7 (Cal is without Best, at home, last game of the season in conference)
Clemson Pick (too much speed for GT, revenge game)

Posted Record: 105-72-5

Oregon

Well my picks are posted for tomorrow but I just wanted to explain the Oregon play and why I will be dropping at least a couple units on it. On the surface Oregon State looks like a great bet; a solid team catching 9.5 against one of their biggest rivals. But I actually think Oregon kicks them in the mouth in this one. The Masoli/James combo is a two-headed monster averaging 5.9 and 6.9 yards per carry respectively, and there is talk of Blount playing tomorrow, and frankly if he does (and really even if he doesn't) this Oregon running attack will overwhelm the Beavers. Not to mention the fact that Masoli's passing is much improved and they have a couple good receivers who should help spread the field and open up the running game even more. Jacquizz Rodgers (I call him Queezy) is a good player but he averages less than James AND Masoli at 5.5 ypc. I'm sure the Beavers will generate some offense but I don't see it being anywhere near enough. Oregon won this game 65-38 last year at OSU, and with this game being played in Eugene (a VERY tough place to play) I would expect a similar result. Last year Oregon had some incentive to knock out Oregon State, and that was to prevent them from playing in the Rose Bowl. However, it was only to secure a ticket to the Holiday Bowl. This year Oregon can not only crush State's Rose Bowl hopes once again, but they can win a ticket to the Rose Bowl themselves. I'm sure the added incentive won't hurt. Just too many factors working against Oregon State here and I see this game getting ugly. Oregon in a rout.

Thursday Night Action

So I think a couple nights off was perfectly appropriate after Monday Night's debacle. I like two plays tonight and really like the weekend card so it should be a nice opportunity for us to make some money. My Thursday plays are:

Western Kentucky +5.5
Oregon -9.5 (really like this one)


Posted Record: 104-71-5

Well folks let me start by apologizing for my very poor pick last night. Just about everything I predicted played out almost exactly opposite what I said. Not only did I advise you to take New England, but you probably bet more than you would have had I not advised you to load up. New England's defense was in fact the one that got exposed and the saints did almost drop 40. I have all the respect in the world for Drew Brees; he is a great leader, a hard worker, and a great competitor, and even though no one wants to put him in the same conversation as Brady and Manning he is most certainly there. The guy is deadly accurate. If a perfect QB rating, 5 TD's and 0 ints, and over 300 yards passing on Monday Night on one of their biggest games of the season doesn't do it for you than I don't know what will. The Saints were also banged up at CB and despite some very new faces filling in, they still kept Brady and the Pats well in check. It is obviously easy to be a proverbial Monday morning quarterback, but that game is case and point of why I almost never do a Play of the Year, or even a Play of the Week. And admittedly looking back it was very stupid to make my POY an NFL game, as I have enjoyed much greater success this season in College ball. However, it has been a good season from a learning standpoint as I have some good ideas as to how to increase our NFL percentage for the remainder of this season and into next season, and I don't think I'll be trying a Game of the Year any time soon. This is a marathon and not a sprint and there's no need to try to pick up a whole bunch of units all at once. Just grinding it out betting a unit a game is the way to do it. I know it's been a tough stretch of late but I encourage you to ride out the storm as I have a lot of faith that things will turn around and I can assure you after this weekend I am committed to turning things around. A couple days off is exactly what we need after a game like that, so I will see you folks back here on Thursday.


Posted Record: 104-71-5

Food for Thought

So I have come up with an idea for tonight's game. The Patriots have jumped out to some early leads this year (the Colts, the Broncos, the Jets, I think you know what I'm going to say next) and they have blown every one of these first half leads. The Saints on the other hand, have been notorious for their slow starts this year, being tied or losing at half on several occasions this season. However, they have had some very impressive second half performances, including putting up 22 in the fourth quarter against Miami. So, if New England jumps out to an early first-half lead, I will bet the Saints for the same amount for the second half, which actually serves two purposes. Since it is the largest wager of the season, I am safeguarding my bet ensuring I don't lose money. On the other hand, if I do win, I will win 2x the largest wager of the season. If the Pats are winning at half, I stand to lose my best or win my bet. If the Pats are winning and I do hedge, I stand to lose nothing or win 2x my bet. Just an idea to add some security and potentially win double our bet if we are fortunate enough for the Pats to get off to a good start.

Play of the Year

First off let me say that I don't do this often, and I really don't like to. My advice to gamblers is generally to bet the same amount on each game, and let your winning percentage take care of making you money. To this point in the season, I have not released one Play of the Week or Play of the Month. I will admit in general I just don't believe in it. However, every now and then a play comes along that just jumps off the board at me, and I will drop the hammer. Most of the time these games play out as I see them. Tonight is one of those games. At this point we all know about the Saints offense. They are fun to watch and Drew Brees is a hell of player. But I certainly don't see the Saints putting up 40 tonight. I'm sure Billy B has spent many an hour scheming exactly how to stop the Saints offense and while stopping it completely is nearly impossible, I have to imagine he has a plan to slow it down. On the other hand, I really cannot see the Saints D getting it done tonight. Sure they handled the Bucs (and their rookie QB) last week but they were outgained by the St. Louis Rams the week before!!!! Yes, you read that right, the St. Louis Rams outgained the prolific and highly touted New Orleans Saints offense. New Orleans is a tough place to play but home field advantage will not be enough for the Saints tonight. Do with it what you like, but this is my largest wager of the season to this point.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +1.5 PLAY OF THE YEAR


Posted Record: 104-70-5

Well that is a perfectly fitting way to end the weekend. Vince Young not only converts on 4th and 4 from his own 7, but goes all the way down the field and scores on a ten yard pass on the last play of the game. 2-2 on the day and 6-7 on the weekend. Very disappointing weekend. But you can't go a season of betting on sports without a few bumps on the road. Overall still a very positive year. Really like New England tomorrow so hopefully we can jump back on the winning train. Before long it will be my favorite time of the year which is College Bowl season so lets grind out a few positive weeks and head into the Bowls with lots of money in our accounts to bet.

Posted Record: 104-70-5

Update and Monday Play

Folks it has been a tough couple of days. As of now we are 2-1 today pending the Arizona game. Hopefully they can pull off the win for a 3-1 Sunday. I am posting this now because I feel very strongly about it. I am a believer in betting the same amount (or at least very close) every game so that a good winning percentage will yield a nice profit. However I will say I am going large on this one.

New England Patriots +1.5 (I don't think the spread matter as I really expect NE to win the game)

Will be back to update the record.

Sunday Football

Very disappointing day going 4-5 yesterday. Four games for today:

Dolphins -3
Seattle -4
Jets -3
Arizona +2


Posted Record: 102-68-5

Update

Really tough start to the day going 1-4 so far, losing ECU by .5 and getting a late unexpected TD to send the Clemson/SC game over. But that's why they call it gambling. Hopefully Florida takes their foot off the gas (though we are talking about Urban Meyer here) and continues to shut down FSU. UTEP is in decent shape (but lets not count our chickens) so with any luck we'll be at 3-4 going into the night games. A little good fortune on Stanford and Baylor and we have a disappointing, but still profitable day. My fingers are crossed but I am hopeful. Best of luck everyone.

Saturday's Card

Nice day yesterday. Unusually big card tomorrow so we'll see how it goes. I am on:

Syracuse/ UConn Under 47
South Carolina/Clemson Under 44
NC State +5.5
Miss/Miss State Under 47.5
UTEP Pick
FSU/Florida Under 56
Baylor +20.5
East Carolina -5.5
Stanford -10

Posted Record: 98-63-5

Record Update

So I realized I forgot to add my two wins on Turkey Day to my record. Then today I went 3-1-1 so a nice boost to the overall in the last couple days.


Posted Record: 98-63-5 (Just a shade under 61% on the year which is good for a nice healthy profit)

Friday Football

Nice day today hitting both of our picks. I will admit my injury research was not thorough enough as Stafford and Johnson both played (though they were both noticeably banged up), and Kyle Orton played for Denver, which I did not think he would. Either way, we cashed both tickets and we will take that any day. I love the fact that we have a nice healthy card for tomorrow. My picks are:

West Virginia Pick
Louisville +3
Kent +3
Ohio +2.5
Auburn +9.5

Posted Record: 93-62-4

While Your At It...

Lock in Stanford -10 before the line goes any higher. I already placed this bet a few days ago. Stanford puts the hurt on the Irish and Charlie Weiss' coaching career at ND is OVER.

Turkey Day Football

First of all Happy Thanksgiving everyone. I'll be on two games today. First I really don't see how the Lions are going to do anything without their two studs Stafford and Calvin Johnson. Last year the Tennessee Titans stomped the Lions on Turkey Day and while the Packers win might not be quite so convincing today I think they will comfortably cover the number. No play on the mid-day game as my lean would be towards Oakland but it's really hard to tell which Oakland team you're going to get on any given day, and Vegas made the number 14 after they beat Cincy straight up? I'm staying away. For the night game I said I wouldn't put my money on Chris Sims but are the Broncos really going to lose FIVE straight after starting 6-0? This is the NFL folks. The Broncos held a players only meeting and I think they are bound and determined to right the ship. The Giants got their win at home against the Falcons last week after dropping four straight prior to that. They're playing at Mile High and with what I've seen out of the Giants at some points this season it wouldn't shock me to see the Broncos take this one on the field.

Green Bay -11.5
Denver +6

Posted Record: 93-62-4

Tuesday Football

Well last night was a small disaster going 0-2. Vince Young is really just a killer the way he can escape the pocket and pick up first downs. I really thought the Texans would have a little better showing and while they did have a few big plays they just could not put it all together. Anyway tonight is a garbage MAC game but being the degenerate I am I am on the Over 53.5. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 93-61-4

Monday Night Football

Well at first glance tonight's game definitely looks tough and I am almost inclined to take the Titans getting four. However, after two straight 8-8 seasons the Texans really need this game to get to 6-4, rather than fall to 5-5 against a team they have already beaten in Tennessee. Houston's main concern in this game is Titans RB Chris Johnson who is one of the league's top backs, though the Texans have acquired a new Safety who has really helped shore up the run defense as they are giving up only a shade over 60 yards on the ground on average over the last six games. Sure the Titans have looked good the last few games but against Buffalo, San Fran, and Jacksonville. Add to that the fact that the Texans have an extra week to prepare and I am sold on Houston -4. I also think there will be a lot of scoring tonight so I will also be on the Over 48.5.

Houston -4
Over 48.5

Posted Record: 93-59-4

Sunday Football

Tough day going 2-2 yesterday with Ole Miss coming really close to covering but just not able to get that one final stop. Not a terrible day overall though. Today's games I'm on:

Buffalo +8.5
San Fran +6.5
Atlanta +7
Indy/Baltimore Under 44.5


Posted Record: 89-59-4

Saturday Football

1-2 last night losing Akron and Utah State, but really both games could've covered, tough luck in the Utah State game right before the half being tied at 14 and then going into half down three touchdowns. Let that one get away. But today is my favorite day of the week so let's see if we can win some money today. I am on:

Ohio Pick
UConn +6
Michigan State +3
Ole Miss -4

Posted Record: 87-57-4

Just ran some numbers that I found interesting:

Based on our record the $100 bettor would be up $2430 so far on the season.
Assuming one unit ($100) is 5% of our total bankroll ($2,000 starting bankroll) we have returned over 100% on our investment so far.

Friday Night Football

Tough game last night with Carolina. Delhomme is a capable qb but when he doesn't play well it can be disastrous. Anyway a few games tonight and I will be on:

Akron +10.5
Akron/BG Over 53.5
Utah State +23 (I know betting against Boise is tough but I think Utah St. keeps a game)


Posted Record: 86-55-4

Thursday Night Football

1-1 last night. Really should've stayed away from the Ball State Game; I took Central Mich. the last time they played and that offense can really score. Dan I have a LeFevour can not only toss it around the field but he is very good at scrambling out of bad situations and making plays with his legs (at least against mediocre MAC competition). Anyway a nice win with Buffalo and on to tonight.

I really think the loss of Ronnie Brown is just devastating for Miami. I really like Miami with Brown and rode them several times but now he's done for the season and Carolina is really starting to turn around their season. I think you see the success continue for Carolina continue tonight so I am taking Panthers -3. Best of Luck everyone.

Posted Record: 86-54-4

Wednesday Night Football

Nice hit on MNF with the Ravens minus the points. Tonight we have two MAC conference games and I will be on Buffalo -3.5 and Ball State +14.5. Lock 'em in before the lines change. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 85-53-4

Monday Night Football

1-1 yesterday to cap off a nice weekend. Too bad the Eagles took so long to get it going and showed no courage at all, playing overly safe and conservative most of the game. As far as the Pats are concerned, I think that is one of the most questionable coaching calls I've ever seen, but I'm glad we got the cover.

Tonight we have two bad options, lay double-digit road chalk on a Monday Night conference game, ..... or back the Cleveland Browns. I just simply refuse to do the latter so...

I'll be on the Ravens -11

Posted Record: 84-53-4

Sunday NFL

Nice day yesterday going 4-2-1, admittedly winning a game we shouldn't have on Cal, pushing a game we probably shouldn't have on Mich. State and getting a late surge from ND to get the cover. Very fortunate if you ask me and I am quite pleased to have finished the day as we did. That said I will tread somewhat lightly today although I do really like these two plays:

Philly Pick
New England +2


Posted Record: 83-52-4

Saturday College Football

Well folks it is my favorite day of the week and I have a card that I like a lot today. Tough loss yesterday with that game just really slowing down in the second half but still having a good week overall. For today I am on:

Michigan State -3
Florida State +5
Baylor +23.5
Notre Dame +7
Mizzou -1.5
Cal -3
Mississippi State +12

Posted Record: 79-50-3

Friday Football

Great night last night sweeping the board. Tonight I know both teams can score so I am on WVU/Cincy Over 55.5. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 79-49-3

Thursday Football

Hit the over convincingly last night with Central Michigan just not taking there foot off the gas, which was much appreciated. I thought CMU might have an impressive showing last night but am always leary of laying big chalk. Nice full slate of games tonight and I will be on:

Chicago/SF Under 43
Bowling Green -3.5
SFU/Rutgers Under 43.5


Posted Record: 76-49-3

Wednesday Football

Tough one Monday with Denver. Tonight I'm on the Over 63. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 75-49-3

Monday Night Football

Great weekend going 7-1 and 3-0 on Sunday. Tonight I really like Denver +2.5. I think they are under rated and Pitt is over rated this year.


Posted Record: 75-48-3

Sunday NFL

Good day yesterday going 4-1 and missing LSU by just 1.5 points, and Bama really never should have kicked that field goal as I believe that was an interception late in the game. But anyway on to today.

Cincy +3
Arizona +3
Miami +10.5


Posted Record: 72-48-3

Saturday NCAAF

Good one last night hitting LA Tech and the Over. Would've loved to see LA Tech pull that one out on the field. But anyway on to today's games. I like:

Illinois +7 and Over 54
LSU +7.5
OSU/PSU Under 38.5
UConn +17


Posted Record: 68-47-3

Friday Football

Tough night last night dropping two and pushing on ECU. Tonight I see a lot a points and a little bit closer game than expected. I am going LA Tech +21 and Over 52.


Posted Record: 66-47-3

Thursday Football

Nice hit the other night with BG and the Over. Three games tonight and I have one play for each.

Eastern Mich./Northern Illinois Under 49
Temple -17.5
ECU +13


Posted Record: 66-45-2

Tuesday NCAAF

Just missed the Saints but hit the over so 1-1 last night. Tonight I'm on Bowling Green +3 and Over 56. Started looking at the weekend card yesterday and I must say I really like some of the games on it.


Posted Record: 64-45-2

MNF

Just getting absolutely killed in the NFL right now going 0-3 yesterday. I am generally a contrarian bettor, and since favorites are hitting at a rapid clip this year, it has been a struggle in the NFL. Luckily the overall is still solid hitting at around 58%. Tonight I am rolling with the public with Saints -12 and Over 55.5. Atlanta's secondary is weak and if Romo can throw for 317 on them I'm sure Brees can, and N.O. is a very tough place to play.


Posted Record: 63-44-2

Sunday Football

4-3 yesterday which I'm not really happy or unhappy with. Today I am going to keep it fairly simple and roll with:

Denver +3.5
Giants -1
Green Bay -3


Posted Record: 63-41-2

Saturday NCAAF

1-1 last night with the under just barely missing. Today I'll be on:

Purdue +7
Florida State -10
Kent -2.5
Arizona State +6.5
Oklahoma -27.5
Tenn -6 and Over 42.5


Posted Record: 59-38-2

Friday Football

Nice win to break the losing stretch. Tomorrow I like South Florida +3 and the Under 48.


Posted Record: 58-37-2

Thursday NCAAF

Rolling with the Under 43.5 tonight. I think VT will grind it out on the ground and UNC will struggle to score.


Posted Record: 57-37-2

Tuesday Update

Tough one last night with a last-second meaningless touchdown sending it over the total. I feel the best option right now is to take a few days off so there will be no play tonight and the earliest I will even consider making a wager is Thursday. I apologize for the poor performance of late and look forward to turning it around when the college games roll around.


Posted Record: 57-37-2

Wow. A 1-5-1 Sunday to follow up a great Saturday. Houston blows a 21 point lead and ends up at a push, Dolphins blow a huge lead and a late pick-6 gets the Saints the cover. In reality it should've been a 3-4 Sunday which is still not good by any means but beats the hell out of 1-5-1. But enough with the excuses. All I can say is I certainly am not going to sit here and take it up the you-know-what from Vegas! I am getting back on the winning train and it starts tonight.

Eagles/Redskins Under 38...Redskins have no offense and a decent defense, and with the home crowd on Monday Night, I expect them to keep this somewhat close, so I am going under 38.


Posted Record: 57-36-2

Sunday Football

O.K. so Oregon State is looking like a winner which will make it a 5-2 Saturday, with a very tough break on the Under in the OSU/Minny game. Very pleased overall. For tomorrow I have a big card that is chock full of dogs and I really like it.

Kansas City +5
St. Louis +14
Houston -3
Oakland +6
Buffalo +7
Chicago Pick
Miami +6


Posted Record: 56-31-1

Thank You Jim Tressel

For not taking your foot even a centimeter off the gas and running up the score to send us three points over. Your team stinks and will never amount to anything in the grand scheme of meaningful football. You play in the little 10 and think your good because you always have a good record. Absolutely disgusting that that game went over. Off to an 0-1 start.

Saturday Football

Tough one with Army playing really sloppy football and a blocked punt ultimately costing us the cover, though we were fortunate enough to get the football on the goal line which kept it under. 1-1 and moving on to the Saturday games. Like the card today.

Minnesota/Ohio State Under 42
Michigan +4.5
Clemson +4.5
Oregon -10
TCU -2.5
Tennessee/Bama Under 43
Oregon State +21

Posted Record: 51-29

Friday Football

Not much trouble getting the over last night. I'm glad I laid off FSU even though I thought they would win because it was a much tougher game than expected. Tonight I will be on Army +10.5 and the Under 38.5. Army is much improved and Rutgers is down this year. I think both teams will run the ball and grind out a close, low-scoring game.


Posted Record: 50-28-1

Thursday Football

Tough one last night with Tulsa's offense never really finding their groove. We all saw how quickly they can get down the field but they just did not do it enough last night. Either way, a gritty performance by UTEP and congrats to them. Moving on to tonight.

I saw a stat yesterday that UNC is something like 1-14 all time vs. FSU. This really doesn't surprise me at all, and I actually think UNC just might get kicked in the mouth tonight, but this FSU team is really down this year and UNC is a program that is on the up and up, so maybe it will be a close game. That said, I think there will be plenty of points tonight and I will be playing the Over 48.5. BOL everyone.

Posted Record: 49-28-1

Wednesday

Nice win on Monday with the Broncos moving to 6-0 as expected.

Tonight I am on Tulsa -8 and Over 59.


Posted Record: 49-26-1

Monday Night

Well I will admit I think we were very fortunate as Chicago self-destructed but we will take a 3-0 day. On Monday Night I have locked in Denver Broncos +3.5. Really like them as I think they are for real and could definitely see them winning this game on the field.


Posted Record: 48-26-1

Sunday Football

Disappointing day yesterday going 3-3. I have three plays today in the NFL. Follow or fade:

Kansas City +6.5
Houston +3.5
Atlanta -3.5


Posted Record: 45-26-1

Saturday Football

Nice one last night even with Pitt getting the cover even though I get nervous any time I make a wager on "The Stache." Today I will be on:

Ohio State/Purdue Under 45
Wisconsin -2.5
Army +10.5
Miami Ohio/Ohio Under 48
NC State +2.5
Notre Dame +10

Posted Record: 42-23-1

Friday Football

A little bump in the road going 0-2 last night. As Jesse Palmer said after the game South Florida will watch the tape and say "we lost this game." They definitely could've won especially with Pike getting knocked out but Collaros is an athlete and competitor and props to him. As I said I have been impressed with Cincy, but even if Pike returns (and he probably will) Cincy is just not going to cut it when it comes to playing the toughest competition. They are just too one-dimensional. Granted they racked up 189 yards on the ground but 132 were from Collaros (most of them off his 80 yard TD run) and a few were from Gilyard. When all was said and done their running backs tallied 68 yards on the ground, and that is just not going to cut it when it comes to playing top competition. I thought this might be the year that SF didn't fold under the pressure when they really had a chance to prove themselves but I was wrong. All this talk of Cincy playing in the National Championship Game is an absolute joke as there are probably TEN or more teams that deserve to be there more than Cincy. Let's not forget this is Big East FOOTBALL, not Basketball. (And you can say all you want about the Big East being a "we'll hit you in the mouth conference" but I'm just not buying it. Anyway we will mark it down and be ready to unload on whichever team plays Cincy in the Bowl Game they make it to where the linesmakers will undoubtedly give them far too much respect. ...On to tonight.

Nice and simple I am on Pitt -6. Let's get back on the winning train and carry our momentum into the weekend.

Posted Record: 41-23-1

Thursday NCAAF

Tough one last night as that game very well could've gone over if not for a very slow 3rd quarter. But that is the nature of this business. Just get on the right side as much as possible and whatever happens happens.

While I will admit I have been impressed with Cincy and Tony Pike (QB) I think S. Florida's D shows up tonight so I am on South Florida +2.5 and Under 48.5. BOL everyone.


Posted Record: 41-21-1

Wednesday Football

Good night last night going 2-0. Let's see if we can keep this run going. Tonight I'm on Boise St./Tulsa Over 55.


Posted Record: 41-20-1

Tuesday Football

Nice late cover last night, though we were never really in jeopardy of doing worse than a push.

Tonight I am on UL Monroe -2 and the Under 53. Best of luck everyone.


Posted Record: 39-20-1

Monday Night Football

Tough Sunday (2-2) to round out a 7-4 weekend. Tonight I am on the Fins +3.

Posted Record: 38-20-1

Sunday

Finished Saturday 5-2. Sunday I am going with:

St. Louis +10.5
Denver +3
Seattle -1
Tennessee +4



36-18-1

Update

Off to a 4-1 start but I am very embarrassed as an SEC fan that Mississippi State lost to a Conference USA opponent in Houston. Disgraceful. Hopefully the night games go well.

Saturday

Good one last night with Nevada getting the easy cover. Like the card a lot today and I will be on:

Miami Ohio +18.5
Tennessee -1.5
Mississippi State -2.5
Kentucky/SC Over 46
UConn +7
Oregon State Pick
Kansas State +16

Posted Record: 31-16-1

Friday

Last night was beautiful as we did not have to worry for a second about that one going over.

I posted this one already but I am on Nevada -10 tonight.

Really like the Saturday card and hoping for a big weekend again. Will be back to post them.


Posted Record: 30-16-1

Thursday Night

Hello Folks I am here capping the Nebraska/Missouri game tonight and since I think this will be a very close game and since it will be raining tonight in MO we will be on the Under 52. I would lock this in as soon as possible as I think it may drop a little more by game time.

Posted Record: 29-16-1

Update

Great game for us last night as we were never really in danger of that game going over. Takes the posted record to 29-16-1.

I would like to put this up here now for Friday's game I will be on Nevada -10 (bought the hook).
I would lock this in before the line goes any higher than it already has.

If I play something for tomorrow night's game I will be back to post it.

Posted Record: 29-16-1

Tuesday

1-1 Sunday with Baltimore coming up just short. NE is looking much better though.

Tonight I will be on MTSU/Troy Under 55.5.


Posted Record: 28-16-1

Sunday Football

Great day yesterday going 5-1 with Cal showing how completely over-rated they are. On to today I will be on two plays for now. Just keeping it simple going with the better team in two basically pick 'em games.

Baltimore +1.5
Miami -1



Posted Record: 27-15-1

Saturday Football

Hello Folks it is Saturday and we are ready to roll. Tough one yesterday with Pitt but Utah State got the cover so we finished the day 1-1. Today I will be on:

Michigan State -4
Michigan/Michigan State Under 54
LSU/Georgia Under 49.5
New Mexico +34.5
Oregon State +5
Cal +4


Posted Record: 22-14-1

Friday NCAAF

Nice last second cover last night even though it should have sailed over if not for the many WVU turnovers.
Tonight I'll be on Louisville +6.5 and Utah State +23.5.
The 'ville is 1-2 but with losses to Kentucky and Utah. Plus it's always a hard-fought battle between these two teams.
Utah State lost this game last year by 20 and are supposedly much improved.

Posted Record: 21-13-1

Thursday NCAAF

Nice easy cover last night as LA Tech ran all over Hawaii. Tonight I will be on the Over 55. Colorado has been pretty bad this year and they are terrible on the road, so I expect WVU to put up a bunch of points tonight. However I'm sure their offense will turn it over a few times which might lead to some points. Also, if and when Colorado moves the ball, it will be more through the air than on the ground which should keep the clock stopped enough for this one to sail over. Colorado/WVU Over 55 for tonight.

Posted Record: 20-13-1

Wednesday College Football

Tough one with Carolina blowing that game thanks to Steve Smith not running a slant.
Rolling with Louisiana Tech tonight -5.5.

Posted Record 19-13-1

Monday Night Football

Poor Sunday to follow up an excellent Sunday. 1-3 and 8-1-1, respectively. Brings the overall to 19-12-1. Pretty pleased with that at this point.

Tonight I will be rolling with the Carolina Panthers. In short this is way too many points to give a pretty decent team on Monday night. Not to mention the fact that I'm not entirely sold on the Boys just yet.

Panthers +8.5
Overall Record: 19-12-1

Sunday

I will be at a wedding all day Saturday and will not have a chance to post my Sunday plays so I am posting them now. Congratulations Kev (you're gay).

Atlanta +4.5
Seattle +2
Denver -1.5
Arizona -3

Saturday Card

Got a lot of games going this weekend. Really like the card.

Minnesota pick
Miss. State +12
BC -1.5
TCU +2.5
Maryland pick
Bama -16.5
Oregon +5.5
Arizona State +12
Purdue +7
Houston -1


Posted Record: 10-8

Monday

I think it's fair to say we got a little unlucky last night with the Colts going 80 yards in 30 seconds for the last second cover. Indy just does not control the clock or the game well which will make it very difficult to cover the spread against good teams.

Posted Record: 10-8

Much better weekend this time around. 4-0 for an 8-2 weekend. Posted Record is now 10-7, which I'm very happy with after such a poor start.

Tonight I like Miami +3.

Posted Record: 10-7

Sunday Plays

Jets +3
New Orleans -3
San Fran -1
Giants +3

Posted Record: 6-7

Weekend Update

This Saturday was a little better, going 4-2 to get the posted record at least close to .500 at 6-7. Will be back with the picks for today before the games.

Adding Florida -30.

Don't think the Vols will be singing Rocky Top all night long like their moronic coach said they would. Urban Meyer will run this one up.

Adding Michigan State +10

Saturday Card

Took a couple days off as I was not picking well at all. Playing four games this weekend.

Kansas -24
Oklahomas -18
South Carolina -21
Arkansas -2

Don't usually like to lay this much chalk but I gotta change it up because my posted record is 2-5.

Another tough night as we missed the under by a point and a half. Gotta ride out the storm and stay the course though. We will turn this around. Looking at the games for the weekend. Hopefully will have some plays up soon.

Posted Record: 2-5

Very sorry for the poor performance starting out. No excuses, but I will turn this around. Tonight we will be playing the Under 42.5 in the San Diego/Oakland game. Don't see Oakland scoring a lot so they will have to limit SD's offense to stay in this one.

Posted Record: 2-4

Colorado at Toledo

No doubt about the fact that Colorado's first game was a huge disappointment. However, look for a much better showing tonight. Because after all, IT'S DIVISION ONE FOOTBALL!, and, IT'S THE BIG TWELVE!!! (I'm sure Coach Hawkins told a few of the guys to "go play intermurals brother" after last week) However, they face a MAC opponent tonight and I think they will win this game handily. I also expect Toledo to get on the board a little bit so I will also be playing the over 54. Colorado -3.5 and Over 54 for tonight.

Posted Record: 1-2

Tennessee

Just a quick tidbit on why I like Tennessee. I locked this in a few days ago at 8.5, but for purposes of my record on this site I will use 9.5 because I'll take the line at whatever it is when I post the play, as that is only fair. Moving on to Tenn.

Tennessee lost this game last year at UCLA, so heading back home this year, revenge will be on their minds. They are under the new leadership of Lane Kiffin who I believe will be a successful coach for them. Tennessee's QB Crompton seems much improved as he threw for more TD's in one game than he did all of last season (granted against a weak opponent), and I think he'll be fine this week. Add to that the fact that UCLA's QB play is suspect and I believe we have a winner. Tenn -9.5

It took an act of God for Clemson to cover. Unfortunately the game sailed over. Off to a dismal start, but we will right the ship this weekend. Jump on Tennessee -9.5 before the line goes any higher. Will post more later.

Posted Record: 1-2

9/10/2009 Picks

Tonight I will be rolling with the Under 43 and Clemson +5 in NCAAF.
May decide to make an NFL play for later, will post it before gametime if I do.

Posted Record: 0-1

Well that's not the way we wanted to start off. But remember it's a marathon and not a sprint.
Posted Record 0-1.

I will start off the posts for this blog with the Under 47.5 on the Miami vs. Florida State game. Posted record is 0-0.