Saturday, December 5, 2009

Update

Well Rutgers Freshman QB made some Freshman mistakes and cost us the cover there. Also wasn't expecting almost 500 yards of total offense from Bama against Florida's D. Very impressive showing. Can't believe I passed on Bama to win it all at 17 to 1 preseason. Just didn't know McElroy would come in and far exceed anything JPW could do. Either way we're 2-2 so far and I don't think we're doing half bad. We'll see how the last three play out and hopefully we come away with a 5-2 or a 4-3 day. Be back later.

Tebow's Eye Black

John 16:33:

"I have told you these things, so that in me you may have peace. In this world you will have trouble. But take heart! I have overcome the world."

Sorry Tim, not looking good for you so far.

Friday, December 4, 2009

The Tim Tebow Drinking Game

Found this online, thought I'd share it.

In honor of Tebow's sheer awesomeness, we give you the Tebow SEC Championship Drinking Game!

* Drink every time Tebow is called "a warrior." Bonus chug if any of your friends sing the first two lines of Scandal's opus "I am a warrior" and change the lyrics to "Tebow is..." Dance, Tebow, you magnificent *******.

* Drink every time Tebow's called "a leader," then salute.

* Drink every time Tebow's called a "special athlete," then yell "Tiiiimmmmmmmmay!"

* Finish your drink if the announcers suggest Tebow should win the Heisman again this year.

* Drink every time Tebow points to the sky. Then realize the only reason the sky hasn't fallen is the strength of his pointing.

* Drink every time Tebow references God. Or himself. Tom-A-to. Tom-ah-to.

* Drink every time he's shown on the sidelines flapping his arms like a bird (or an idiot) to pump up the crowd.

* If (when) Tebow actually takes flight, finish your drink and do a shot.

* Drink every time Tebow's on camera for no reason when the Florida defense is on the field.

* Drink every time Tebow is seen screaming with his helmet off.

* Drink every time they show a "I Heart Tebow" sign in the stands.

* Drink every time you see a Florida fan in jorts. (Small sips on this one. Otherwise it could kill you).

* Shot every time they mention his experience as missionary.

* If they mention him performing circumcisions in the Philippines while he was a missionary - Chug your beer, do a shot of Patron.

Disclaimer: Playing the Tebow drinking game may result in death. So don't do it. Ever. Not even in jest. The content above this disclaimer is a joke, not a suggestion. If you're dumb enough to do it, just pray Tebow is nearby. Only he can save you. Him or a local hospital with a stomach pump.

Saturday Card

No play tomorrow, got my card for Saturday. Tough loss on Oregon as I thought we certainly could have covered that number. But anyway moving on to Saturday I like this card a lot.

Rutgers -1.5 (strictly a situational play here, WVU got the win of their season last weekend, this game wreaks of letdown)
Arizona +7 (line is inflated based on past reputation of both teams)
Alabama +5.5 (think they win on the field)
Alabama/Florida Under 41 (Two best defenses in the country)
Florida International -1.5 (another situational play)
Washington +7 (Cal is without Best, at home, last game of the season in conference)
Clemson Pick (too much speed for GT, revenge game)

Posted Record: 105-72-5

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Oregon

Well my picks are posted for tomorrow but I just wanted to explain the Oregon play and why I will be dropping at least a couple units on it. On the surface Oregon State looks like a great bet; a solid team catching 9.5 against one of their biggest rivals. But I actually think Oregon kicks them in the mouth in this one. The Masoli/James combo is a two-headed monster averaging 5.9 and 6.9 yards per carry respectively, and there is talk of Blount playing tomorrow, and frankly if he does (and really even if he doesn't) this Oregon running attack will overwhelm the Beavers. Not to mention the fact that Masoli's passing is much improved and they have a couple good receivers who should help spread the field and open up the running game even more. Jacquizz Rodgers (I call him Queezy) is a good player but he averages less than James AND Masoli at 5.5 ypc. I'm sure the Beavers will generate some offense but I don't see it being anywhere near enough. Oregon won this game 65-38 last year at OSU, and with this game being played in Eugene (a VERY tough place to play) I would expect a similar result. Last year Oregon had some incentive to knock out Oregon State, and that was to prevent them from playing in the Rose Bowl. However, it was only to secure a ticket to the Holiday Bowl. This year Oregon can not only crush State's Rose Bowl hopes once again, but they can win a ticket to the Rose Bowl themselves. I'm sure the added incentive won't hurt. Just too many factors working against Oregon State here and I see this game getting ugly. Oregon in a rout.

Thursday Night Action

So I think a couple nights off was perfectly appropriate after Monday Night's debacle. I like two plays tonight and really like the weekend card so it should be a nice opportunity for us to make some money. My Thursday plays are:

Western Kentucky +5.5
Oregon -9.5 (really like this one)


Posted Record: 104-71-5

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Well folks let me start by apologizing for my very poor pick last night. Just about everything I predicted played out almost exactly opposite what I said. Not only did I advise you to take New England, but you probably bet more than you would have had I not advised you to load up. New England's defense was in fact the one that got exposed and the saints did almost drop 40. I have all the respect in the world for Drew Brees; he is a great leader, a hard worker, and a great competitor, and even though no one wants to put him in the same conversation as Brady and Manning he is most certainly there. The guy is deadly accurate. If a perfect QB rating, 5 TD's and 0 ints, and over 300 yards passing on Monday Night on one of their biggest games of the season doesn't do it for you than I don't know what will. The Saints were also banged up at CB and despite some very new faces filling in, they still kept Brady and the Pats well in check. It is obviously easy to be a proverbial Monday morning quarterback, but that game is case and point of why I almost never do a Play of the Year, or even a Play of the Week. And admittedly looking back it was very stupid to make my POY an NFL game, as I have enjoyed much greater success this season in College ball. However, it has been a good season from a learning standpoint as I have some good ideas as to how to increase our NFL percentage for the remainder of this season and into next season, and I don't think I'll be trying a Game of the Year any time soon. This is a marathon and not a sprint and there's no need to try to pick up a whole bunch of units all at once. Just grinding it out betting a unit a game is the way to do it. I know it's been a tough stretch of late but I encourage you to ride out the storm as I have a lot of faith that things will turn around and I can assure you after this weekend I am committed to turning things around. A couple days off is exactly what we need after a game like that, so I will see you folks back here on Thursday.


Posted Record: 104-71-5